Cambium data sets contain hourly emission, cost, and operational data for modeled futures of the U.S. electric sector with metrics designed to be useful for long-term decision-making.
Cambium was built to expand the metrics reported in NREL’s Standard Scenarios—an annually released set of projections of how the U.S. electric sector could evolve across a suite of different potential futures, looking ahead through 2050.
Long-Run Marginal Emission Rates
A long-run marginal emission rate is the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a long-term (i.e., more than several years) change in electrical demand, incorporating both the operational and structural consequences of the change. It is therefore distinct from the more commonly known short-run marginal, which treats grid assets as fixed.
Cambium data sets contain long-run marginal emission rate estimates for the contiguous United States. View and download the workbooks containing this metric and guidance on its use.
Access the Full Data Sets
Beyond long-run marginal emission rates, Cambium databases include other emission, cost, and operational metrics. The full data sets can be viewed and downloaded via the Cambium Viewer.
Limitations of Modeled Data
Cambium relies on models, which are necessarily simplifications of reality. The data produced by those models therefore deviate from reality to some degree.
We strongly encourage users to critically evaluate the suitability of Cambium metrics for new analyses by reviewing existing literature and comparing Cambium data against empirical data where possible. To aid in this effort, we have provided modeled data for 2018 in the mid-case of the 2020 Standard Scenarios data release—available through the viewer—so that users can compare empirical market and operational data with the data provided in Cambium databases. Cambium data is not sufficiently accurate to be used for every purpose and should be assessed with a critical eye.
See Section 2 of the Cambium documentation for a detailed discussion of the limitations of the models underlying Cambium databases.
Forward-Looking Emissions Factors for Electric-Sector Planning
Released March 2022, the research article Planning for the Evolution of the Electric Grid With a Long-Run Marginal Emission Rate characterizes how well three common types of emissions factors can anticipate the emissions impacts of electric-sector interventions.
The research finds that a forward-looking long-run marginal emission rate—which incorporates both the operational and structural consequences of an intervention—can out-perform two other common emissions factors.
Long-Run Marginal Emission Rates for Electricity, NREL Data Workbook (2021)
Cambium Documentation: Version 2021, NREL Technical Report (2021)
2021 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook, NREL Technical Report (2021)
Integrating Cambium Marginal Costs into Electric-Sector Decisions, LBNL Technical Report (2021)