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NREL Report:

July 30, 2012

Authors: Emily Newes, Brian Bush, Daniel Inman, Yolanda Lin, Trieu Mai, Andrew Martinez, David Mulcahy, Walter Short, Travis Simpkins, and Caroline Uriarte, NREL; Corey Peck, Lexidyne, LLC

The Biomass Scenario Model (BSM), a system dynamics model, facilitates understanding of policies and their potential effects on the U.S. biofuels industry. However, BSM does not currently have the capability to account for allocation of biomass resources among the various end uses. This report provides a more holistic understanding of the dynamics surrounding the allocation of biomass among competing uses by (1) highlighting the methods used in existing models' treatments of competition for biomass resources; (2) identifying coverage and gaps in industry data regarding the competing end uses; and (3) exploring options for developing models of biomass allocation that could be integrated with the BSM.

—Jim Leyshon