Agenda
The agenda for the Solar Resources and Forecasting Workshop comprises two days of workshop sessions on June 20 and 21 as well as tours of National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) facilities on June 22.
Day 1: Monday, June 20, 2011
- 7:15: Registration and Breakfast Buffet
- 8:30: Welcome, Tom Stoffel
- 8:45: Plenary: The SunShot Initiative, Kevin Lynn
- About SunShot
- The Role of Resource Data and Forecasting
- Reaching the Goal
- 9:15: Overview of Solar Resource R&D at NREL, Dave Renné
- Capabilities and Expertise
- Activities to Date
- Current Research Directions
- 9:35: Participant Expectations, Tom Stoffel
- 10:00: Break and Group Photo
- 10:30: Highlights From the CSP Best Practices Handbook, Tom
Stoffel
- Solar Radiation Concepts
- Measuring Solar Radiation
- Modeling Solar Radiation
- HistoricalSolar Resource Information
- Applying Solar Resource Information
- 11:00: User Perspectives on Project Feasibility Data, Panel: Frank Vignola (moderator), Marcel Suri, Forrest Collins, and John Miller
- Acceptable Resource/Power Production Data Uncertainties
- Data Elements of Interest
- Data Resolution and Downscaling Methods (Temporal and Spatial)
- Long-Term Data Periods Versus Typical Year
- Relating Short-Term Measurements to Long-Term (Model) Records
- Modeling Power Production From Resource Data
- 12:00: Lunch
- 1:30: Measurements To Support Project Planning, Development, and Operations
- Broadband Radiometry – An Overview, Alexander Los
- Overview of Recent Developments: A Series of Presentations, Ed Kern, Roger Tree, Steve Wilcox, Aron Habte, Ericka Nevarez , and Ann Gaglioti
- Rotating Shadowband Radiometer Measurement Uncertainty
- Measurement Network Operations
- Case Study: SOLRMAP
- Comparing Ground and Satellite Measurements
- Monitoring System Performance
- 3:00: Break
- 3:20: Modeling Solar Resource Data
- Overview of Modeling Solar Resources, Manajit Sengupta
- Current Body of Knowledge – A Series of Presentations, Marie
Schnitzer, Pascal Storck, Andy Heidinger, Richard Perez/Jeff Ressler, Marcel
Suri, Chris Gueymard, Steve Wilcox, and Nate Blair
- Modeled Solar Resource Data
- Uncertainty in Current Data Sets
- New Developments in Models and Methods
- Impact of Aerosols on DNI/Clear Sky Models; Estimating Aerosols
- Technical and Economic Models
- 5:30: Adjourn
Day 2: Tuesday, June 21, 2011
- 7:30: Registration and Breakfast Buffet
- 8:30: Welcome, Tom Stoffel
- 9:00: Importance of Forecasting to Stakeholders, Panel: Mark Ahlstrom (moderator), Jim Blatchford,
Pascal Storck, and Ron Flood
- System Operators and Utility Needs for Solar Forecasts
- Important Forecast Metrics
- Potential Economic Value of Solar Forecasts
- 9:45: Plenary: Solar Radiation Estimates From Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Stan Benjamin
- Description of Numerical Weather Prediction Models
- Description of Relevant Model Physics
- Data Assimilation
- Model Products
- Model Limitations
- Future Improvements
- 10:30: Break
- 10:45: Short-Term and Day-Ahead Forecasting – Presentations, John Zack,
Richard Perez, Jan Kleissl, Ned Snell, and Steven Miller
- Cloud Motion Detection From Numerical Weather Prediction and Observations by Ground-Based and Satellite Sensors
- Model Overviews and Validations
- Radiative Transfer in Numerical Weather Prediction Models
- Model Validation Studies
- 12:00: Lunch
- 1:15: PV Output Variability Studies – A Series of Presentations, Jan Kleissl, Josh Stein, Adam Kankiewicz,
Laura Hinkelman, and Manajit Sengupta
- High-Frequency Meso/Microscale Resource Measurement Systems
- Time-Series Resource Data and Power Output Ramp Rates
- 2:15: Modeling for System Integration Studies, Panel: Kirsten Orwig (moderator), Marissa Hummon, Jaclyn Frank, Richard Perez, and Harjeet Johal
- Creating High-Resolution Resource Input Data Sets
- Modeling PV Output on the Grid
- 3:15: Break
- 3:30: Proper Roles for the Private and Public Sectors, Panel: Kristen Nicole (moderator), Marcel Suri, Melinda Marquis, Jeff Ressler, Pascal Storck, Marie Schnitzer, Mark Ahlstrom, Jim Blatchford, and Ron Flood
- 5:00: Future Directions, Dave Renné
- 5:20: Survey
- 5:30: Closing
Day 3: Wednesday, June 22, 2011
- 8:00: Breakfast
- 9:30: NREL Visitor Badges Issued at Hotel Vista Room
- 10:00: NREL Buses Arrive Hotel
- 10:20: Depart for Labs by Group
- 12:00: End of Tours
