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Energy Forecasting and Modeling

The following includes summary bios of staff expertise and interests in analysis relating to energy economics, energy system planning, risk and uncertainty modeling, and energy infrastructure planning.

Team Lead: Nate Blair
Administrative Assistant: Melissa Hudman

Photo of Clayton Barrows.

Clayton Barrows

Postdoctoral Researcher

Areas of expertise

  • Power system modeling

Primary research interests

  • Power and energy systems
  • Complex system optimization
  • Network science

More information on Clayton Barrows

Photo of Nate Blair.

Nate Blair

Group Manager

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • Building and system simulation tools, especially the TRaNsient SYstem Simulation Program (TRNSYS)
  • EES
  • Concentrating solar power system modeling
  • Experimental solar water-heating experience

Primary research interests

  • Macroeconomic energy-impact analysis
  • Wind-power market modeling
  • Transient power system modeling
  • Building performance measurement

More information on Nate Blair

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Greg Brinkman

Energy Analysis Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Unit commitment and dispatch modeling of electric power systems
  • Emission estimation from electric power systems
  • Air quality modeling

Primary research interests

  • Integration of renewable energy, energy efficiency, and enabling technologies into the electric power system
  • Environmental impacts of renewable energy and energy efficiency

More information on Greg Brinkman

Photo of Brian Bush

Brian W Bush

Principal Strategic Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Energy and infrastructure modeling, simulation, and analysis
  • High performance computing
  • Software architecture, design, implementation, and testing
  • Discrete-event and continuous simulation
  • Statistical analysis
  • Geographic information systems

Primary research interests

  • Energy modeling methodologies
  • Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for multidisciplinary models and simulations, including understanding the limits of predictability
  • Graph and network analysis
  • Approximate reasoning
  • Knowledge engineering
  • Mining and visualization of massive data sets

More information on Brian W Bush

Photo of Stuart Cohen

Stuart Cohen

Postdoctoral Researcher

Areas of expertise

  • Electricity system analysis
  • Optimization and data analysis in GAMS and MATLAB
  • Carbon capture and sequestration

Primary research interests

  • Multi-scale electricity systems modeling and optimization (e.g. ReEDS)
  • Optimizing complex systems involving science, technology, economics, and policy
  • Sustainable energy

More information on Stuart Cohen

Photo of Carolyn Davidson

Carolyn Davidson

Economic Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Using data to inform policy and market analysis
  • Econometrics and statistical methods

Primary research interests

  • Impact of policy on renewable penetration
  • Renewable energy project finance
  • Low Emissions Development Strategies

More information on Carolyn Davidson

Photo of Paul Denholm

Paul Denholm

Senior Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling of electric power systems, including interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies
  • Environmental life-cycle analysis
  • Analysis of energy storage systems utilized with conventional and renewable generation

Primary research interests

  • Effects of large-scale renewable energy deployment in electric power systems
  • Renewable energy enabling technologies including energy storage and long distance transmission

More information on Paul Denholm

Photo of Victor Diakov

Victor Diakov

Senior Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Geographic diversity of wind and solar power generation
  • Wind and solar energy in the grid
  • Energy and power systems, vehicular hydrogen
  • Computer models integration

Primary research interests

  • Renewable energy generation and carriers
  • Energy infrastructure modeling

More information on Victor Diakov

Photo of Aron Dobos

Programming Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Detailed modeling of PV, CSP, and solar water heating systems
  • Flat-plate PV and HCPV modeling and engineering
  • Systems simulation using TRNSYS and SAM
  • Economic analysis of renewable energy systems
  • Power system scheduling and economics

Primary research interests

  • System modeling tools, particularly the System Advisor Model (SAM)

More information on Aron Dobos

Photo of Easan Drury

Easan Drury

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling the U.S. photovoltaics (PV) market
  • Quantifying the impacts of state and federal incentives on PV adoption

Primary research interests

  • Developing market penetration models for renewable technologies
  • Analyzing large-scale renewable energy deployment

More information on Easan Drury

Photo of Kelly Eurek

Kelly Eurek

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • Mathematical programming

Primary research interests

  • Capacity expansion and dispatch modeling of the electricity sector, e.g. the Regional Energy Deployment Systems (ReEDS) model

More information on Kelly Eurek

Photo of Janine Freeman

Janine Freeman

Energy System Modeling Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Solar instrumentation
  • PV energy production modeling
  • Solar resource estimates
  • Vertical axis wind turbine analysis/wind tunnel experimentation
  • PVsyst
  • CAD modeling
  • Campbell Scientific LoggerNet
  • Matlab

Primary research interests

  • Wind and solar power improvements

More information on Janine Freeman

Photo of Melissa Hudman.

Melissa Hudman

Administrative Assistance

Areas of expertise

  • Media relations
  • Project coordination

Primary research interests

  • Renewable fuels and vehicles
  • Residential energy efficiency

More information on Melissa Hudman

Photo of Marissa Hummon.

Marissa Hummon

Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Temporal and spatial characteristics of solar irradiance
  • PV power production datasets for large scale integration studies
  • Quantitative/statistical analysis and modeling

Primary research interests

  • Deterministic approaches to downscaling spatial-temporal datasets
  • Market and variable generation technology interactions
  • Transmission, distribution, and variable generation studies
  • Smart grid technologies, demand response modeling, and production cost modeling

More information on Marissa Hummon

Photo of Jennie Jorgenson.

Jennie Jorgenson

Energy Systems Modeling Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Energy systems modeling with SAM
  • Unit commitment and dispatch modeling for determining the air quality effects electric vehicle adoption
  • Quantitative analysis modeling

Primary research interests

  • System modeling tools
  • Data processing and analysis

More information on Jennie Jorgenson

Leah Kaffine

Numerical Analysis and Modeling

Areas of expertise

  • MatLab
  • Monte Carlo simulation

Primary research interests

  • Time-series analysis
  • Principle component analysis
  • Energy forecasting

More information on Leah Kaffine

Photo of Jordan Macknick

Jordan Macknick

Energy and Environmental Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Renewable energy technological characterizations
  • Database development
  • Policy analysis

Primary research interests

  • Interface of energy and water in policy planning
  • Environmental impacts of renewable energy technologies
  • Renewable energy deployment in developing countries

More information on Jordan Macknick

Photo of Trieu Mai

Trieu Mai

Energy Engineer - Electricity Section Supervisor

Areas of expertise

  • Electric sector capacity expansion modeling
  • High penetration renewable scenario analysis
  • Linear programming

Primary research interests

  • Implications of large-scale deployment of renewable energy
  • Integration of renewable technologies into the power system

More information on Trieu Mai

Photo of Emily K. Newes

Emily K. Newes

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Investigating the relationship between fossil and renewable resources by development of the Stochastic Energy Deployment System (SEDS)
  • Analyzing variation in renewable energy deployment with potential policy implementation
  • Utilizing system dynamics modeling to explore energy system behaviors

Primary research interests

  • Strategies for increasing the share of non-traditional fuels in the marketplace
  • Environmental implications of using renewable versus conventional generation

More information on Emily K. Newes

Photo of Sean Ong

Sean Ong

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Technical, policy, and economic analysis and modeling of photovoltaic (PV) systems
  • Analysis of land use requirements of solar and wind energy systems
  • Interaction between utility rate structures and PV systems
  • Renewable energy analysis and tool development using Microsoft VBA and MatLab

Primary research interests

  • Potential of PV in national energy markets
  • Economic and technical optimization of small, medium, and large scale PV installations
  • Large scale deployment of various renewable energy technologies

More information on Sean Ong

Photo of David Palchak

David Palchak

Energy Systems Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Electrical load forecasting with artificial neural networks
  • Demand-side management optimization with Matlab

Primary research interests

  • Demand response and renewable energy deployment modeling (PLEXOS)

More information on David Palchak

Photo of Daniel Steinberg

Daniel Steinberg

Energy and Environmental Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling of interactions between climate change and the energy sector
  • Climate change policy analysis
  • Econometrics
  • GIS/Remote Sensing

Primary research interests

  • Interrelationship between energy efficiency, demand response, and renewable energy
  • Environmental and energy market impacts of energy and environmental policy
  • Impacts of climate change on global energy supply and demand

More information on Daniel Steinberg

Photo of Patrick Sullivan

Patrick Sullivan

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • System equilibrium modeling in Matlab, including treatment of chemical species with Cantera

Primary research interests

  • Development of detailed market penetration models for renewables

More information on Patrick Sullivan

Aaron Townsend

Energy Systems Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Unit commitment and dispatch modeling of electric power systems
  • Linear and mixed-integer programming
  • Competitive and regulated electricity markets
  • Interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies
  • Electrical energy storage

Primary research interests

  • Electricity and natural gas market design and implementation
  • Impact of market structure and out-of-market incentives on market outcomes
  • Optimizing complex systems involving science, technology, economics, and policy
  • Integration of renewable energy and enabling technologies into the electric power system

More information on Aaron Townsend

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Laura Vimmerstedt

Senior Environmental Analyst - Transportation, Fuels, and Environmental Impacts Section Supervisor

Areas of expertise

  • Climate change policy analysis
  • Renewable energy modeling
  • Air-quality regulatory implications for energy technologies

Primary research interests

  • Environmental effects of energy technologies and systems
  • Impact of policies and environmental issues on renewable energy markets

More information on Laura Vimmerstedt

Andrew Weekley

Software Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • MATLAB
  • Expert systems
  • Scientific data analysis

Primary research interests

  • Time series segmentation and classification
  • Image segmentation and classification
  • Machine intelligent algorithms

More information on Andrew Weekley

Photo of Owen Zinaman

Owen Zinaman

Electricity Systems Modeler

Areas of expertise

  • Quantitative/statistical analysis and modeling
  • Nuclear reactor and fuel cycle technologies

Primary research interests

  • Capacity expansion and dispatch modeling of the electric sector, e.g. the Regional Energy Deployment Systems (ReEDS) model
  • Effects of large-scale renewable energy deployment in electric power systems
  • Economic and environmental impacts of energy policy

More information on Owen Zinaman

If you have questions about our programs or would like to contact our staff, please email Melissa Hudman.