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Energy Forecasting and Modeling

The following includes summary bios of staff expertise and interests in analysis relating to energy economics, energy system planning, risk and uncertainty modeling, and energy infrastructure planning.

Photo of Nate Blair.

Nate Blair

Group Manager

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • Building and system simulation tools, especially the TRaNsient SYstem Simulation Program (TRNSYS)
  • EES
  • Concentrating solar power system modeling
  • Experimental solar water-heating experience

Primary research interests

  • Macroeconomic energy-impact analysis
  • Wind-power market modeling
  • Transient power system modeling
  • Building performance measurement

More information on Nate Blair

Photo of Greg Brinkman

Greg Brinkman

Postdoctoral Researcher

Areas of expertise

  • Unit commitment and dispatch modeling of electric power systems
  • Emission estimation from electric power systems
  • Air quality modeling

Primary research interests

  • Integration of renewable energy, energy efficiency, and enabling technologies into the electric power system
  • Environmental impacts of renewable energy and energy efficiency

More information on Greg Brinkman

Photo of Brian Bush

Brian W Bush

Principal Strategic Analyst

Analysis or applications expertise

  • Energy and infrastructure modeling, simulation, and analysis
  • High performance computing
  • Software architecture, design, implementation, and testing
  • Discrete-event and continuous simulation
  • Statistical analysis
  • Geographic information systems

Primary research interests

  • Energy modeling methodologies
  • Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for multidisciplinary models and simulations, including understanding the limits of predictability
  • Graph and network analysis
  • Approximate reasoning
  • Knowledge engineering
  • Mining and visualization of massive data sets

More information on Brian W Bush

Photo of Caroline U. Chapman

Caroline Uriarte Chapman

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling of the US power market using GAMS

Primary research interests

  • Electricity market
  • Renewable energy

More information on Caroline Uriarte Chapman

Carolyn Davidson

Economic Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Using data to inform policy and market analysis
  • Econometrics and statistical methods

Primary research interests

  • Impact of policy on renewable penetration
  • Renewable energy project finance
  • Low Emissions Development Strategies

More information on Carolyn Davidson

Photo of Paul Denholm

Paul Denholm

Senior Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling of electric power systems, including interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies
  • Environmental life-cycle analysis
  • Analysis of energy storage systems utilized with conventional and renewable generation

Primary research interests

  • Effects of large-scale renewable energy deployment in electric power systems
  • Renewable energy enabling technologies including energy storage and long distance transmission

More information on Paul Denholm

Photo of Victor Diakov

Victor Diakov

Senior Strategic Analyst

Analysis expertise

  • Geographic diversity of wind and solar power generation
  • Energy and power systems: hydrogen generation, fuel cells
  • Market analysis: sales-price curves in competitive and emerging markets

Primary research interests

  • Renewable energy generation and carriers
  • Hydrogen production and delivery pathways analysis and modeling

More information on Victor Diakov

Photo of Aron Dobos

Programming Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Power systems economics
  • Data structures and algorithms
  • Generation scheduling optimization
  • Fluent in Hungarian; functional in German and Spanish

Primary research interests

  • Solar Advisor Model (SAM) tool

More information on Aron Dobos

Photo of Easan Drury

Easan Drury

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling the U.S. photovoltaics (PV) market
  • Quantifying the impacts of state and federal incentives on PV adoption

Primary research interests

  • Developing market penetration models for renewable technologies
  • Analyzing large-scale renewable energy deployment

More information on Easan Drury

Photo of Melissa Hudman.

Melissa Hudman

Administrative Assistance

Areas of expertise

  • Media relations
  • Project coordination

Primary research interests

  • Renewable fuels and vehicles
  • Residential energy efficiency

More information on Melissa Hudman

Photo of Marissa Hummon.

Marissa Hummon

Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Temporal and spatial characteristics of solar irradiance
  • PV power production datasets for large scale integration studies
  • Quantitative/statistical analysis and modeling

Primary research interests

  • Deterministic approaches to downscaling spatial-temporal datasets
  • Market and variable generation technology interactions
  • Transmission, distribution, and variable generation studies
  • Smart grid technologies, demand response modeling, and production cost modeling

More information on Marissa Hummon

Yolanda Lin

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • System dynamics modeling
  • Large scale sensitivity analysis

Primary research interests

  • Deployment and use of non-traditional fuels in the marketplace
  • Impact of policies on renewable energy markets

More information on Yolanda Lin

Photo of Jordan Macknick

Jordan Macknick

Energy and Environmental Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Renewable energy technological characterizations
  • Database development
  • Policy analysis

Primary research interests

  • Interface of energy and water in policy planning
  • Environmental impacts of renewable energy technologies
  • Renewable energy deployment in developing countries

More information on Jordan Macknick

Photo of Trieu Mai

Trieu Mai

Energy Analyst - Energy Markets Section Supervisor

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • C programming for simulations of physical systems

Primary research interests

  • Capacity expansion and dispatch modeling of the electricity sector, e.g. the Regional Energy Deployment Systems (ReEDS) model

More information on Trieu Mai

Photo of Andrew Martinez

Andrew Martinez

Analyst Engineer

Areas of expertise

  • Energy system modeling with Matlab and Cantera
  • Thermodynamic equilibrium modeling with FactSage
  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)

Primary research interests

  • Capacity expansion and dispatch modeling of the electricity sector, e.g. the Regional Energy Deployment Systems (ReEDS) model

More information on Andrew Martinez

Photo of James Milford

James Milford

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies in electric power systems
  • Environmental life-cycle analysis
  • Energy storage systems

Primary research interests

  • Utility-rated renewable energy deployment
  • Renewable energy storage and long distance transmission

More information on James Milford

Photo of Emily K. Newes

Emily K. Newes

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Investigating the relationship between fossil and renewable resources by development of the Stochastic Energy Deployment System (SEDS)
  • Analyzing variation in renewable energy deployment with potential policy implementation
  • Utilizing system dynamics modeling to explore energy system behaviors

Primary research interests

  • Strategies for increasing the share of non-traditional fuels in the marketplace
  • Environmental implications of using renewable versus conventional generation

More information on Emily K. Newes

Photo of Sean Ong

Sean Ong

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Technical, policy, and economic analysis and modeling of photovoltaic (PV) systems
  • Analysis of land use requirements of solar and wind energy systems
  • Interaction between utility rate structures and PV systems
  • Renewable energy analysis and tool development using Microsoft VBA and MatLab

Primary research interests

  • Potential of PV in national energy markets
  • Economic and technical optimization of small, medium, and large scale PV installations
  • Large scale deployment of various renewable energy technologies

More information on Sean Ong

Photo of Walter Short

Walter Short

Principal Policy Analyst and Group Manager

Areas of expertise

  • Energy market models, including National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS)
  • Financial models
  • Optimization

Primary research interests

  • Potential of renewables in national energy markets
  • Impact of policies on the market introduction of renewable

More information on Walter Short

Photo of Daniel Steinberg

Daniel Steinberg

Energy and Environmental Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Modeling of interactions between climate change and the energy sector
  • Climate change policy analysis
  • Econometrics
  • GIS/Remote Sensing

Primary research interests

  • Interrelationship between energy efficiency, demand response, and renewable energy
  • Environmental and energy market impacts of energy and environmental policy
  • Impacts of climate change on global energy supply and demand

More information on Daniel Steinberg

Photo of Patrick Sullivan

Patrick Sullivan

Energy Analyst

Areas of expertise

  • Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS)
  • System equilibrium modeling in Matlab, including treatment of chemical species with Cantera

Primary research interests

  • Development of detailed market penetration models for renewables

More information on Patrick Sullivan

Photo of Laura Vimmerstedt

Laura Vimmerstedt

Senior Environmental Analyst - Transportation, Fuels, and Environmental Impacts Section Supervisor

Areas of expertise

  • Climate change policy analysis
  • Renewable energy modeling
  • Air-quality regulatory implications for energy technologies

Primary research interests

  • Environmental effects of energy technologies and systems
  • Impact of policies and environmental issues on renewable energy markets

More information on Laura Vimmerstedt

If you have questions about our programs or would like to contact our staff, please email Melissa Hudman.