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Publications

The following are publications — including technical reports, journal articles, conference papers, and posters — focusing on the Wind Deployment System (WinDS) and Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) models.

Technical Reports

Eurek, K.; Denholm, P.; Margolis, R.; Mowers, M. (2013). Sensitivity of Utility-Scale Solar Deployment Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market and Performance Assumptions. 55 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A20-55836.

Martinez, A.; Eurek, K.; Mai, T.; Perry, A. (2013). Integrated Canada-U.S. Power Sector Modeling with the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS). 50 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A20-56724.

Denholm, P.; Hand, M.; Mai, T.; Margolis, R.; Brinkman, G.; Drury, E.; Mowers, M.; Turchi, C. (2012). Potential Role of Concentrating Solar Power in Enabling High Renewables Scenarios in the United States. 29 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A20-56294.

Logan, J.; Heath, G.; Macknick, J.; Paranhos, E.; Boyd, W.; Carlson, K. (2012). Natural Gas and the Transformation of the U.S. Energy Sector: Electricity. 255 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A50-55538.

Renewable Electricity Futures Study. (2012). Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory; NREL Report No. TP-6A20-52409.

SunShot Vision Study: February 2012 (Book). SunShot, Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy (EERE). (2012). 320 pp.; NREL Report No. BK-5200-47927; DOE/GO-102012-3037.

Bird, L.; Chapman, C.; Logan, J.; Sumner, J.; Short, W. (2010). Evaluating Renewable Portfolio Standards and Carbon Cap Scenarios in the U.S. Electric Sector. 43 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A2-48258.

Logan, J.; Sullivan, P.; Short, W.; Bird, L.; James, T. L.; Shah, M. R. (2009). Evaluating a Proposed 20% National Renewable Portfolio Standard. 35 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-6A2-45161.

Contributions by Short, W.; Blair, N. (2008). 20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy's Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply. DOE Report No. DOE/GO-102008-2567.

Short, W. (2007). Regions in Energy Market Models. 27 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-620-40506.

Laxson, A.; Hand, M. M.; Blair, N. (2006). High Wind Penetration Impact on U.S. Wind Manufacturing Capacity and Critical Resources. 34 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-500-40482.

Short, W.; Denholm, P. (2006). Preliminary Assessment of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles on Wind Energy Markets. 41 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-620-39729.

Journal Articles

Mai, T.; Hand, M. M.; Baldwin, S. F.; Wiser, R. H.; Brinkman, G. L.; Denholm, P.; Arent, D. J.; Porro, G.; Sandor, D.; Hostick, D. J.; Milligan, M.; DeMeo, E. A.; Bazilian, M. (2014). Renewable Electricity Futures for the United States. IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy. Vol. 5(2), April 2014; pp. 372-378; NREL Report No. JA-6A20-58804. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TSTE.2013.2290472

Logan, J.; Lopez, A.; Mai, T.; Davidson, C.; Bazilian, M.; Arent, D. (2013). Natural Gas Scenarios in the U.S. Power Sector. Energy Economics. Vol. 40, November 2013; pp. 183-195; NREL Report No. JA-6A50-57087. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.06.008

Mai, T.; Mulcahy, D.; Hand, M. M.; Baldwin, S. F. (2014). Envisioning a Renewable Electricity Future for the United States. Energy. Vol. 65, 1 February 2014; pp. 374-386; NREL Report No. JA-6A20-58511. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2013.11.029

Arent, D.; Plessa, J.; Mai, T.; Wiser, R.; Hand, M.; Baldwin, S; Heath, G,; Macknick, J.; Bazilian, M.; Schlosser, A.; Denholm, P. (2014) Implications of high renewable electricity penetration in the U.S. for water use, greenhouse gas emissions, land-use, and materials supply. Applied Energy. 4 January 2014. (In press) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.12.022

Clemmer, S.; Rogers, J.; Sattler, S.; Macknick, J.; Mai, T. (2013). Modeling Low-Carbon US Electricity Futures to Explore Impacts on National and Regional Water Use. Environmental Research Letters. Vol. 8(1), January-March 2013; 11 pp.; NREL Report No. JA-6A20-56243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015004

Denholm, P.; Margolis, R.; Mai, T.; Brinkman, G.; Drury, E.; Hand, M.; Mowers, M. (2013). Bright Future: Solar Power as a Major Contributor to the U.S. Grid. IEEE Power and Energy Magazine. Vol. 11(2), March 2013; pp. 22-32; NREL Report No. JA-6A20-57243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MPE.2012.2234404

Mignone, B.K.; Alfstad, T.; Bergman, A.; Dubin, K.; Duke, R.; Friley, P.; Martinez, A.; Mowers, M.; Palmer, K.; Paul, A.; Showalter, S.; Steinberg, S.; Woerman, M.; Wood, F. (2012). "Cost-Effectiveness and Economic Incidence of a Clean Energy Standard." Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy. Vol. 1(3); pp. 59-86. http://dx.doi.org/10.5547/2160-5890.1.3.5

Rausch, S.; Mowers, M. (2012). "Distributional and Efficiency Impacts of Clean and Renewable Energy Standards for Electricity." MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report Series. No. 225. July.

Bird, L.; Chapman, C.; Logan, J.; Sumner, J.; Short, W. (2011). "Evaluating Renewable Portfolio Standards and Carbon Cap Scenarios in the U.S. Electric Sector." Energy Policy. Vol. 39(5), May 2011; pp. 2573-2585; NREL Report No. JA- 6A20-50749. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.025

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D. (2003). Long-Term Potential of Wind Power in the United States. Solar Today, November/December 2003; pp. 28-29; NREL Report No. JA-620-34871.

Conference Papers

Ibanez, E.; Mai, T.; Coles, L. (2012). Analyzing the Deployment of Large Amounts of Offshore Wind to Design an Offshore Transmission Grid in the United States: Preprint. 8 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-5500-56262.

Sullivan, P.; Short, W.; Blair, N. (2008). Modeling the Benefits of Storage Technologies to Wind Power. 18 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-670-43510.

Blair, N.; Hand, M.; Short, W.; Sullivan, P. (2008). Modeling Sensitivities to the 20% Wind Scenario Report with the WinDS Model. 22 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-670-43511.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Mehos, M. (2008). Modeling the Impact of State and Federal Incentives on Concentrating Solar Power Market Penetration. 2008 14th Biennial CSP SolarPACES (Solar Power and Chemical Energy Systems) Symposium, 4-7 March 2008, Las Vegas, Nevada (CD-ROM) (NREL/CD-550-42709). Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory 8 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-670-42851.

Short, W.; Sullivan, P. (2007). Modeling the National Potential for Offshore Wind: Preprint. 18 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-640-41803.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Denholm, P.; Heimiller, D. (2006). Long-Term National Impacts of State-Level Policies: Preprint. 20 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-40105.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Heimiller, D. (2005). Reduced Form of Detailed Modeling of Wind Transmission and Intermittency for Use in Other Models: Preprint. 16 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-38139.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D. (2005). Modeling the Market Potential of Hydrogen from Wind and Competing Sources: Preprint. 15 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-38138.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D. (2004). Modeling Renewable Energy Systems and Policies — Challenges and Approaches. A.A.M. Sayigh, ed. Proceedings of the World Renewable Energy Congress VIII (WREC 2004), 29 August–3 September 2004, Denver, Colorado (CD-ROM). [Amsterdam]: Elsevier, Ltd.; Monterey, CA: Produced by InControl Productions, Inc.; 6 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-36848.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D. (2004). Projected Impact of Federal Policies on U.S. Wind Market Potential: Preprint. 14 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-36052.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D.; Singh, V. (2003). Modeling the Long-Term Market Penetration of Wind in the United States. 15 pp.; NREL Report No. CP-620-34469.

Presentations

Lopez, A.; Logan, J.; Mai, T. (2012). U.S. Electric Power Futures: Preliminary Results (Presentation). NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory). 22 pp.; NREL Report No. PR-6A20-55826.

Mai, T. (2012). Renewable Electricity Futures. NREL Report No. PR-6A20-56168. Presented online for the Power Systems Engineering Research Center Webinar. September 4, 2012.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Denholm, P.; Heimiller, D. (2006). "Modeling the Penetration of Wind Energy Into the U.S. Electric Market." Presented at the CNLS 26th Annual Conference. August 16, 2006.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Mehos, M.; Heimiller, D. (2006). "Concentrating Solar Deployment System (CSDS) — A New Model for Estimating U.S. Concentrating Solar Power Market Potential." Presented at Solar 2006. July 9-13, 2006.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Denholm, P.; Heimiller, D. (2006). "Long-Term National Impacts of State-Level Policies." Presented at WindPower 2006. June 4-7, 2006.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D.; Parks, K. (2005). "WinDS-H2 Model and Analysis." Presented May 27, 2005.

Posters

Short, W.; Denholm, P. (2006). "Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles and Wind Energy." Presented at WindPower 2006. June 4-7, 2006.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Heimiller, D. (2005). Reduced Form of Detailed Modeling of Wind Transmission and Intermittency for Use in Other Models. 1 pp.; NREL Report No. PO-620-38453.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D. (2005). Modeling the Market Potential of Hydrogen from Wind and Competing Sources. 1 pp.; NREL Report No. PO-620-38451.