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Analysis Activities by Organization
Representatives: Susan Holte, John Maples, Chris Namovicz
Web site: www.eia.doe.gov
Organizational Objectives – Analysis
EIA addresses two broad types of analysis. The first supports projections of future energy markets in the short term and long term, assuming current laws and regulations. These reference projections for the long-term markets serve as the starting point for requested analyses of the potential impacts of proposed legislation and regulations and other "what-if" analysis. The second type of analysis is current situation analysis, i.e., what is happening in current energy markets and why. EIA is an independent statistical and analytic agency within the Department of Energy responsible for providing objective data and analyses of energy markets and policies. Among other analytic activities, EIA has developed and maintains the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which provides energy market projections for the Annual Energy Outlook and policy impact analyses as requested by Congress or the Administration.
Analysis Activities – Relevance to Priority Topics
C) Augment Energy Technologies and Demand Response Representation in Energy Models
The models used for the projections rely heavily on consumer demand response to energy prices and other behavioral characteristics, and assumptions about future energy technologies and their characteristics are fundamental inputs to the longer-term model.
D) Enhance Regional Technology Characterizations and Transmission Constraints in Energy Models
Many aspects of EIA modeling, especially in the area of renewable energy, have significant regional resource or technology variation, including (but not limited to) development of intra- and inter-regional electricity transmission capacity. Although NEMS currently has some capability to represent broad regional markets for renewables and electricity, but improvements in regional and transmission characterizations would improve the robustness of analytic results from NEMS.
E) Improve Impact Evaluation Tools: Economic Development, Energy Security, Environmental Impacts
The impacts of energy markets on the economy and on emissions are outputs of the long-term model.
G) Enhance Biofuel Resource Potential and Infrastructure Analysis
Both topics are of high interest as inputs to our analysis of biofuels.
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